Friday, May 18, 2012

Realtors Optimistic On Spring Home Sales Season, As Investors Eye Builders LEN DHI MHO RYL - Investors.com


Anyone who makes a living in residential real estate knows better than to crack open the champagne just because of some encouraging housing data.

Still, it's hard not to get cautiously upbeat over recent trends that point to an improving U.S. housing market and indicate some further strengthening in months to come.

National real estate analysts and local real estate agents sound encouraged by the state of housing as it enters the stretch drive of the spring home-selling season.

Foot traffic is up, prices are stabilizing by some measures and sales are trending higher. Recent housing statistics suggest the market is at its strongest point in years.

"Demand is up, and the psyche of the consumer is much better than it has been in years," said the National Association of Realtors' Ken Fears, manager of regional economics.

Agents See Change

How much spring homebuying are real estate agents noticing right now? Nate Johnson, with Keller Williams Realty in northern Virginia, says his team is "seeing a lot of buyers out there" and getting multiple offers on short-sale properties. His work is concentrated in Fairfax County, just across the Potomac River from Washington, D.C.

Although down 2.6% monthly in March, the pace of U.S. existing home sales reached its highest level since 2007 in the first quarter, up 4.7% from the previous quarter and more than 5% from the prior year.

Prospects for new home sales are looking better too. Investor optimism has pushed IBD's Building — Residential/Commercial industry group to the top-ranked spot among 197 groups tracked, with Lennar (LEN), Standard Pacific (SPF), MI Homes (MHO), Ryland Group (RYL) and D.R. Horton (DHI) among highly rated stock market performers. Still, after an exuberant rise, several builder stocks gave up some gains Thursday ahead of April home sales numbers due out next week.

Near Washington, D.C., the main challenge now is finding homes people want to sell, Johnson says.

"The inventory is very low in some places," he said. "Many people are upside-down on their mortgages and can't sell."

Short sales occur when more is owed on a home than it sells for, when a lender does agree to a sale.

"A lot of our short-sale inventory are condos," Johnson said. "A lot of investors are snapping those up at inexpensive prices with the idea of renting them out."

Looking For Listings

A lack of inventory is also a problem in certain Atlanta neighborhoods, says Thom Abbott, an associate broker at Thomas Ramon Realty at Palmer House Properties. His firm specializes in midtown condos at prices ranging from $80,000 to more than $600,000.

by Vince Cariaga Investor's Business Daily May 17, 2012


Realtors Optimistic On Spring Home Sales Season, As Investors Eye Builders LEN DHI MHO RYL - Investors.com

PV Mountain Shadows resort owner defaults on loan

The owner of the Mountain Shadows resort in Paradise Valley has defaulted on his loan but says the long-shuttered property's redevelopment will move forward.

A trustee's sale for the resort has been set for July 26.

However, officials with California-based Crown Realty and Development Inc., say that the firm wants to avoid the foreclosure, and is negotiating with lender U.S. Bank Special Assets Groupon a resolution.

Crown Realty, owned by Robert Flaxman, also developed the InterContinental Montelucia Resort & Spa in Paradise Valley, which defaulted on a $180 million loan about three years ago.

Flaxman owes at least $360,000 in taxes on the Mountain Shadows property, according the the Maricopa County Treasurer's Office.

Jason Rose, a spokesman for Crown Realty, said if they are successful in negotiations, there will be no sale. If they are not, Crown can bid on the property at the auction.

"They are optimistic about a resolution," Rose said. "They feel confident in a favorable resolution with the bank that will translate into a favorable re-development of Mountain Shadows for the town."

Dozens of residents showed up for a preliminary presentation of their plans for re-developing the resort, at a Town Council meeting Thursday afternoon.

The plan includes resort hotel, residential, golf and retail facilities.

At the meeting, Flaxman, said his firm plans to work through the loan default.

He bought the 68-acre property from Host Marriott Corp. for $42 million, in January 2007. Host Marriott Corp. is now known as Host Hotels & Resorts.

"We are committed to this project and plan to see it through," Flaxman said.

Town Manager Jim Bacon said Crown Realty has had an application on file with Paradise Valley for several years.

The firm plans to submit a revised application this week.

"The owner has the right to move forward with an application," Bacon said, whether the property is in default or not.

The Mountain Shadows resort, which remains closed at 56th Street and Lincoln Drive, has drawn potential re-development possibilities in recent months.

Residents became hopeful when Phoenix-based JDM Partners, co-owned by sports mogul Jerry Colangelo, entered into a purchase agreement for Mountain Shadows in December.

JDM's projects include Chase Field, US Airways Center,Comerica Theatre and the remodel of the Wigwam resort in Litchfield Park, which represented the company's first foray into the hospitality industry.

However, the firm announced last month that it was unable to reach a final agreement with Crown Realty and is no longer under contract for the property.

JDM officials provided no more information, citing a confidentiality provision in the purchase agreement.

by Philip Haldiman - May. 15, 2012 10:06 AM The Republic | azcentral.com



PV Mountain Shadows resort owner defaults on loan

Investment group buys Buckeye parcel for $7.4 million

An investment group has purchased 2,389 acres of bank-owned land at the northeast corner of Sun Valley Parkway and Thomas Road in Buckeye for about $7.4 million, or $3,098 per acre, a broker involved in the deal said.

The buyer was Elianto LANDVEST, an Arizona entity formed by LANDVEST North America, of California, according to commercial real estate firm Colliers International in Phoenix, which represented LANDVEST.

The seller, Bank Midwest of Kansas City, Mo., was represented by commercial real estate firm Land Advisors in Scottsdale.

Previously the land was to become a residential community for Lennar Homes, which had spent more than $16 million on entitlements alone, Colliers said.

by J. Craig Anderson - May. 15, 2012 04:36 PM The Republic | azcentral.com



Investment group buys Buckeye parcel for $7.4 million

Subdivisions go urban as housing growth shifts

Townhouses and single-family homes are sprouting on old industrial sites in the heart of Southern California cities. In Florida, developers are coveting foreclosed golf courses in urban centers to put up new subdivisions. Builders in Texas are going after available land even near landfills for residential and retail development.

Why are the giants of the building industry, the creators for decades of massive communities of cookie-cutter homes, cul-de-sacs and McMansions in far-flung suburbs, doing an about-face? Why are they suddenly building smaller neighborhoods in and close to cities on land more likely to be near a train station than a pig farm?

A housing industry slowly shaking off the worst economic conditions in decades is rethinking what type of housing to build and where to build it. It's a response to a new wave of home buyers who have no desire to live in traditional subdivisions far from urban amenities.

The nation's development patterns may be at a historic juncture as builders begin to reverse 60-year-old trends. They're shifting from giant communities on wide-open "greenfields" to compact "infill" housing in already-developed urban settings.

The market slowdown has given builders time to assess sweeping demographic changes that are transforming the way Americans want to live.

Young Millennials and older Baby Boomers are rejecting traditional suburban lifestyles in favor of urban living and shorter commutes. Many want to live near city centers so they can walk to work, shops and restaurants or take public transportation. They also prefer smaller homes because they're single or have no kids and don't want to spend their free time maintaining their homes.

"It's the kids (ages 18 to 32), the empty nesters (Baby Boomers with no kids at home)," says Chris Leinberger, president of Smart Growth America's LOCUS (Latin for "place"), a national coalition of real estate developers and investors who support urban developments that encourage walking over driving. "These two generations combined are more than half of the American population."

The housing bust of the last five years hit hardest in subdivisions in remote suburbs, drying up financing for such development. At the same time, gas prices soared and so did environmental consciousness, giving consumers pause about living in distant suburbs away from services, jobs and entertainment.

California couple Maurice Turner and his wife, Preet Bassi, used to rent in the center of Anaheim. When they decided to buy, they found their choices limited at first.

"The majority of homes were single-family homes in the suburbs or older homes and multi-story condos in the city," says Turner, administrative manager in a nearby city.

The 30-something professionals did not want to leave city neighborhoods and settle in a suburban subdivision. And they didn't want to live in a multi-story condo building.

That was about the time Brookfield Homes, a leading developer of huge suburban subdivisions, began Colony Park -- more than 500 single-family homes, townhouses and condominiums in Anaheim's Historic District on a site that once housed industrial warehouses. Many of the townhomes are across the street from restaurants, entertainment and other urban attractions.

Turner and Bassi now live in a three-story, 1,700-square-foot townhouse where they and their neighbors make "a conscious effort to spend less time in your car commuting and spend more time in your neighborhood with friends, neighbors, family," Turner says. "The urban environment was a big key to staying."

Growth patterns shift

Developers are listening because the market has spoken loud and clear.

Latest Census data show that population growth in fringe counties nearly stopped in the 12 months that ended July 1, 2011, and urban counties at the center of metro areas grew faster than the nation as a whole, a USA TODAY analysis found.

Central metro counties accounted for 94% of U.S. growth, compared with 85% just before the recession and housing bust.

A recent Case Western Reserve University study found that Cleveland's inner city is growing faster than its suburbs for the first time.

In January 2000, the highest price per square foot in the Washington, D.C., metro area was in the leafy suburb of Great Falls, Va., according to Zillow, a real estate research firm. Ten years later, townhouses in the hip and urban Dupont Circle neighborhood of Washington were worth 70% more per square foot than property in Great Falls.

"These are the market signals we're getting throughout the country," Leinberger says. "The drivable suburban fringe is where the housing market collapsed -- 80% of the collapsed market was there. It's a classic case of the real estate industry overproducing."

Most major builders have created "urban" divisions in the past five years to scout for available land in already-developed parts of cities and closer suburbs -- even if it means former industrial and commercial sites or land that may require environmental cleanup.

This shift doesn't mean the end of sprawling suburban subdivisions in onetime cow pastures and corn fields, but it does signal a notable change that could alter the housing landscape for years to come.

"There has been a huge shift, particularly in the last 10 years," says Marie York, president of real estate consulting York Solutions in Palm Beach County, Fla., and a board member of the American Planning Association. "There's an emphasis on walkability, an emphasis on health, an emphasis on commuting by bicycle ... a shift away from blatant consumerism and the McMansion model."

The shift is not temporary, says Gregory Vilkin, managing principal and president of MacFarlane Partners, a San Francisco-based real estate investment company building 170 units on the site of former parking lots and auto repair shops in South Lake Union, a new urban project in Seattle.

Vilkin headed one of the nation's largest urban redevelopments while at the helm of Forest City Enterprises' residential real estate division: Stapleton, a cluster of neighborhoods built on 7.5 square miles on the site of the old Stapleton International Airport in Denver. Developers built 11 units per acre compared with four per acre in traditional suburban subdivisions.

"I reject the premise that (the shift) is just because of the recession," Vilkin says. "It's no longer the American dream to own a plot of land with a house on it and two cars in the driveway."

Adds Leinberger: "This is a structural change, not a cyclical downturn."

Moving toward the center

Whether it's temporary or a seminal moment in the nation's development history, the housing bust and recession have prompted developers to set their sights inward. When property values drop, so does investment. And because values dropped the most on the outer edges of metro areas, developers are paying attention to sites they never considered before.

"It makes you not look at these large properties on the edge of the Earth anymore," says Denise Gammon, president of the communities division of Florida-based Kitson & Partners. "There's a dramatic shift going on."

Gammon also worked on Stapleton, and Kitson hired her to develop their infill business. In Tampa, the company is building Bay Pines, which will have multi-family housing, hotel, grocery store and shops on 60 acres that once was the site of a mobile home park.

"It's an area of Tampa that hasn't seen new housing in 25 years," she says. "The conventional model is obsolete. People are looking for something different."

In California, KB Home built Primera Terra at Playa Vista, near Marina Del Rey, on the site of an old Hughes Aircraft site. The condos highlight energy efficiency, proximity to shops, parks and schools, and prices under $600,000 (no garages).

"It has drawn an incredible number of people," says Steve Ruffner, president of KB Home Southern California. "People are very interested in technology in a home that's not only good for the environment but saves them ownership costs --Energy Star, solar."

Executives of Dallas-based Huffines Communities sensed a revolution was afoot after attending a builders' show in Orlando in 2005 when they realized that investors were the dominant buyers of suburban housing -- not consumers.

The company had nine so-called "master-planned communities" in the works that would go up on undeveloped land in outer suburbia.

"We sold six and kept three," says Robert Kembel, Huffines president. The company redeployed its capital to redeveloping sites in cities. "If people prefer to live closer to the jobs center, the pricing you can command is higher and there's less competition," Kembel says.

Huffines is developing Viridian, 5,000 units on a 2,300-acre site in a flood plain near a landfill in Arlington, Texas. The project required lengthy and costly cleanup and wetlands restoration measures.

"Developers who have the patience to go to the city or county and negotiate public-private partnerships to help mitigate huge costs, those are the guys who win," Kembel says.

No time for big yards

Suburbia is changing, too.

Established suburbs such as Virginia's Fairfax County, outside Washington, D.C., are building town centers that combine residential and retail on greenfields. Rapid transit lines are expanding through Tysons Corner, site of two shopping malls and headquarters of major corporations. Plans are for dense, high-rise development.

Even traditional communities built on greenfields are transforming. In Southern California's Inland Empire, an area where housing prices are lower and appeal to first-time buyers, Brookfield is building Edenglen in Ontario. The homes are built on smaller lots -- 4,500 square feet instead of the more conventional 7,200 square feet -- and priced from $200,000 to $300,000.

"We've seen a lot of single females, single males, couples without kids," says Carina Hathaway, vice president of marketing. "They don't really have time to maintain huge yards."

But Kembel predicts infill development is the wave of the future. Military bases that have shuttered offer huge opportunities, and so do old subdivisions built when sprawling suburbia was born in the 1950s and 1960s, he says.

"For the first time in history, Americans have stopped pushing development to the edge," says Robert Lang, professor of urban affairs at the University of Nevada-Las Vegas and author of Megapolitan America. "The shift is from the old crabgrass frontier to the new Main Street."

by Haya El Nasser - May. 15, 2012 04:03 PM USA Today




Subdivisions go urban as housing growth shifts

Builder confidence highest in 5 years

WASHINGTON - -- Confidence among U.S. builders rose to the highest level in five years in May, a hopeful sign that modest improvement in the housing market will pick up.

The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo builder sentiment index rose to 29 in May. That's the highest reading since May 2007 and up from a downwardly revised reading of 24 in April.

The index rose for six straight months before falling in April.

Still, any reading below 50 indicates negative sentiment about the housing market. The index hasn't reached hit that level since April 2006, the peak of the housing boom.

Homebuilders reported improving sales and higher traffic from prospective buyers. A gauge measuring confidence in sales over the next six months also rose, to 34 from 31.

The improved outlook follows other recent signs that the depressed housing market is slowly improving.

In March, builders requested the highest number of permits to build new homes and apartments in 3 1/2 years. And the number of people who signed contracts to buy homes rose in March to the highest level in nearly two years.

Mortgage rates have fallen to record lows and hiring has picked up, making it easier for more Americans to buy homes. Still, many would-be buyers are having difficulty qualifying for home loans or can't afford larger down payments required by banks.

by CHRISTOPHER S. RUGABER - May. 15, 2012 07:36 AM AP Economics Writer




Builder confidence highest in 5 years

The Dangers of High-Speed Trading - US  Business News - CNBC

Arbitrage potential at the speed of light at 11 millisecond between NYSE and CME...

Comstock | Getty Images


Eric Scott Hunsader has gone completely down the rabbit hole, and he doesn’t like what he’s finding there.

Hunsader is the CEO of a Chicago-based market analytics firm that specializes in high-frequency trading — super fast trades executed at the speed of light that can alter asset prices faster than human beings can react to the changes.

Based on his own analysis, Hunsader has come to a startling conclusion: Markets today are even more susceptible to sudden failure than they were two years ago during the “flash crash,” which brought the stock market down by about 1,000 points in mere minutes.

That’s because a new breed of trader armed with hundreds of millions of dollars to deploy is trading so fast—and with such spikes in volume—that he can dry up liquidity in an instant, causing severe price swings.

To explain to a lay person, Hunsader offers up two examples of the kinds of trades he’s seeing. The first happened less than a minute before the April Jobs report was released by the Department of Labor in Washington.

That report is traditionally one of the most dramatic market-moving events of each month. As a result, traders tend to lie low in the minute or so before the number comes out at 8:30 a.m. on the first Friday of each month, so they don’t get caught when the market changes.

But Hunsader argues that he’s seeing a small group of high speed traders who aren’t lying low. In fact, they’re taking advantage of the regular and predictable lull in the market to pop high speed trades in order to intentionally create a several hundred millisecond burst of volatility, and then execute follow-on trades to profit from that.

To understand what happens, you have to go inside just one second of trading and look at the way markets move at speeds that can be almost imperceptible to human beings.

On May 4, Hunsader says, he spotted those traders just before the April number was released. At 8:29:20 and about 200 milliseconds, he says, someone — he has no way of knowing who — executed a trade in the five year T-note futures market worth about $150 million.

A chart of that single second in the market shows that prices are relatively stable until the trade. And just after that, for the rest of the second, prices spike, and gyrate up and down as other automated high speed computers react to the trade.

Hunsader says he doesn’t know exactly how the traders make money off the volatility that they create, but he suspects they’re making other trades in the milliseconds following their market moving trade that take advantage of the relationships between this market and others that are impacted by it.

The traders that move first, and fastest, win, he says.

“It’s like two guys running in the woods, and they see a bear and one guy drops down and puts his shoes on and the other guy says, ‘what are you doing that for, you can’t outrun a bear,’” Hunsader says. “And the guy goes, ‘I don’t have to outrun the bear, I just have to outrun you.’”

On another occasion, Hunsader says he saw traders taking advantage of something as fundamental as the speed of light.

Because trades are executed by fiber-optic cable, the fastest they can travel—and the fastest anything in the universe can travel—is the speed of light. But even at that speed, it takes about 11 milliseconds for information from exchanges based in New York to get to exchanges based in Chicago. And that provides an opportunity for arbitrage for those who can move fast enough.

“Recently, they put in this new high speed line between Chicago and New York,” Hunsader says. “Essentially (they) drilled through mountains to shave a few milliseconds — thousandths of seconds — off, getting it down to 11 milliseconds. But I think somebody’s figured out how to get it to zero milliseconds.”

And the way they do that, in effect, became clear on May 3, Hunsader argues.

At 9:59:11 and about 620 milliseconds, someone executed a trade in Chicago, purchasing about 1,300 ES contracts for about $70 million. That happened to come in a lull just before two economic indicators were to be released at 10 a.m. that day.

At the exact same millisecond, 9:59:11 and about 620 milliseconds, Hunsader says, another trade was executed: Somebody bought 260,000 shares of a closely correlated product, SPY, for about $36 million.

Hunsader has no way of knowing for sure it was the same person executing both trades. But he says he sees same millisecond trades happening in both cities in related products often enough that he doesn’t think it can be pure coincidence.

In fact, he says, someone placing big orders in related products in both cities would gain a valuable advantage: for 11 milliseconds, they would be the only ones in the world who knew what happened in both markets.

By the time Chicago received the information about what happened in New York, and New York received the information about what happened in Chicago, Hunsader says, the traders who execute such trades would have a relatively long time to position themselves for the predictable fallout. And that’s a profit opportunity.

“The speed of light is fast,” Hunsader says, “But it’s not as fast as the high frequency traders would like it to be.”

The trick is, you have to have a super-fast computer and $100 million in deployable cash to make it work.

Hunsader says he sees these trades happening so frequently, in fact, that he advises individual investors not to make any trades at all between 9:58 and 10:02 a.m. Eastern, since many economic reports are released at exactly 10 a.m.

The high speed, high volume trading he’s seeing can cause asset prices to gap by small increments — so that if you’re executing a trade at that minute and a high speed trader is jamming data lines at the same time, you might not get the deal at the price you thought when you pressed the button to process the trade.

What’s more, Hunsader says, this kind of trading is causing market instability—to the extent that the right set of circumstances could set off a cascade much worse than the flash crash of 2010.

“You might hear, ‘we’re doing fine, now,’” Hunsader says. “Well, yes, everything will be just fine as long as, as the news is sunshine-y happy. If you get a shock to system, you’re going to see very quickly just how undercapacity we are.”

Not everybody sees high speed trading as dangerous, of course. CNBC spoke to Jim Overdahl, a vice president at NERA Economic Consulting, who argued that high frequency trades are an important tool for professional traders.

“I think the bottom line argument on the benefits of high-frequency trading: it’s a risk management tool for professional traders,” Oberdhal said. “It allows them to quickly revise their quotes and offer better quotes because they’re able to manage the risk of being picked off by better informed trader or traders with superior information about order flow or market moving news.”

by Eamon Javers CNBC May 15, 2012


The Dangers of High-Speed Trading - US Business News - CNBC

Tuesday, May 15, 2012

Ally's mortgage arm files for Chapter 11

DETROIT - The U.S. government is hoping that Monday's bankruptcy filing by Ally Financial Inc.'s troubled mortgage business will help the company repay its government bailout faster.

Residential Capital LLC, or ResCap, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in New York, unable to make payments on debt taken out to finance soured home mortgages. The filing will separate the money-losing ResCap subsidiary from Ally's auto-loan and banking businesses, allowing the latter businesses to grow and speed up repayment of Ally's bailout from 2008 and 2009, Ally said in a statement.

Ally also said Monday that it is exploring the possible sale of its international operations, a move that also should help strengthen its finances and make payments to the government. International businesses include auto loan, insurance and banking operations in Canada, Mexico, Europe, England and South America.

Ally, which is 74 percent owned by the U.S. government, was the financial arm of General Motors Co. until the banking industry meltdown in 2008. It needed a $17.2 billion bailout to survive the downturn. Ally has repaid about $5.5 billion and it still owes the government just under $12 billion. The government is hoping to get the rest of the money back through a public stock offering by Ally, or perhaps the sale of its remaining businesses.

When the bankruptcy and potential sale of international operations are finished, Ally expects to repay two-thirds of its bailout, or about $11 billion. The additional payments could come by year's end, the company said.

"We believe that this action puts taxpayers in a stronger position to continue recovering their investment in Ally Financial," Assistant Treasury Secretary Timothy Massad said in a statement. ResCap is a separate company, and the government does not hold any debt or equity in it, the government said. The ResCap board decided to seek bankruptcy protection on Sunday.

Ally's statement said that ResCap has reached agreements with its key creditors for a speedy bankruptcy. But Ally has to put up $150 million for bankruptcy financing and pay $750 million to ResCap to make the deal work. Ally also will make the first bid on up to $1.6 billion worth of troubled mortgages that will be auctioned. The agreements made before the filing have milestones for ResCap to come out of bankruptcy protection by the end of the year, Ally said.

ResCap also has agreements with big investors in mortgage-backed securities to support the bankruptcy reorganization, Ally said.

Ally makes loans to GM and Chrysler customers and finances dealer inventories. The government first bailed out the company, then known as GMAC Inc., in late 2008. Additional funding was provided in May and December 2009.

by Tom Krisher - May. 14, 2012 06:19 PM Associated Press




Ally's mortgage arm files for Chapter 11

Unfinished plaza bought

An online auction netted a $625,000 winning bid for the partially built McQueen Professional Plaza near the Islands community in Gilbert, where the blighted complex has gathered weeds, litter and graffiti while sitting vacant for years.

The sale late last month could mean a happier ending for a development that was supposed to open in late 2008 but which has since fallen into neighborhood-eyesore status.

The two-day auction, which ended April 26, may not result in a sale, since the terms and conditions allow the seller to accept or reject any bid for the property. But the initial information provided by Auction.com suggested the $625,000 bid met the seller's undisclosed reserve price.

The winning bidder is required to execute a purchase agreement within two hours of the auction's close or risk being declared in default. The bidder then must deliver earnest money within 24 hours, and the sale should close within 30 days, according to the terms and conditions.

Auction.com accepted bids only from cash buyers, who paid a $5,000 deposit to participate in the auction.

Bidding started at $250,000 and climbed to $400,000 by the morning of April 26. A flurry of last-minute bids elevated the price to $625,000. According to Auction.com, the property's most recent real-estate value was set at $620,000 in August 2010. The developer's initial loan on the project was worth about $7.4 million, according to Maricopa County records.

Phoenix contractor Parker Ganem, who was building the complex, said now-defunct Silver State Bank was financing the project but stopped paying and was seized by the federal government. "That one bank took my entire construction company down," Ganem said. "I had to file for bankruptcy because of that one project."

Construction screeched to a halt, leaving partially framed buildings with exposed foundations and open storm-drain culverts. Weeds shot up, and the lot drew litter and graffiti.

by Parker Leavitt - May. 11, 2012 02:39 PM The Republic | azcentral.com


Unfinished plaza bought

Builder rolls out Line K at Pinnacle Peak Place

Piet Boon has a new look for north Scottsdale homes.

The Dutch designer and K. Hovnanian Homes are unveiling a line of contemporary semi-custom homes this weekend at Pinnacle Peak Place, a mile from of the city's iconic peak.

A four-bedroom model home opens Saturday in this gated community northeast of Pima and Happy Valley roads. Prices range from $700,000 to $820,000.

The interior of the 3,874-square-foot model home stands out with its stark white walls, modern lines and an abundance of disappearing glass walls and outdoor living space. That includes a reflecting pond in a breezeway, infinity-edge pool and a shower and soaking tub outside the master bathroom.

"The desert view is so incredible," Boon said in explaining the openness of his Arizona designs.

"It's so different with the boulders and cactus."

Boon is an interior and furniture designer based in Amsterdam, the Netherlands, with an international list of clients.

Boon joined with K. Hovnanian Homes, based in Red Bank, N.J., a year ago to create the builder's Line K of contemporary homes with its rollout in Scottsdale.

The result is a design that runs counter to the sameness of the Tuscan, Mediterranean and Spanish architecture so common in the gated communities across Scottsdale.

"We think there are people who are tired of Tuscan, tired of the traditional styles here," said Jack McSweeney, K. Hovnanian Homes Phoenix Group director of architecture.

It is a design that will appeal to younger buyers who are used to a more modern aesthetic as well as to Baby Boomers, he said.

The stonework and the exterior color schemes at Pinnacle Peak Place are similar to the surrounding homes but the sleeker lines and optional metal roof are less common for the area.

Pinnacle Peak Place was first developed in 2006 by the Pivotal Group Inc. and Geoffrey H. Edmunds & Associates Inc.

It was to include 80 homes on 124 acres.

In those boom times, the homesites were priced from $395,000 to $975,000, and homes of 4,000 to 6,000 square feet were offered at $1.5 million to $3 million.

Twenty-one homes were built, including a $3.3 million property in October 2007, but much of the community remains undeveloped.

K. Hovnanian Homes has 26 lots that it acquired earlier this year, McSweeney said.

It is offering three models with variations in floor plans.

All of them include four bedrooms, three-car garages and 31/2 or 41/2 bathrooms.

Prices start at $700,000 for a home of 3,305 square feet up to $820,000 for 3,874 square feet. Each lot is close to an acre in size.

Send real-estate news to peter.corbett@arizonarepublic.com. Follow him on Twitter @petercorbett1.

Line K debuts

What: K. Hovnanian Homes at Pinnacle Peak Place.

Where: 25851 N. 89th St.

Contact: 480-656-2789, khov.com or pietboon.com.

by Peter Corbett - May. 11, 2012 01:15 PM The Republic | azcentral.com




Builder rolls out Line K at Pinnacle Peak Place

Scottsdale builders seeing surge in new homes

Apartment development is the focus of Scottsdale's housing market, but builders based in the city say they are seeing a surge in new-home sales elsewhere in the Valley.

Builders acquired permits for nearly 2,500 single-family homes in the first quarter, up 74 percent from a year ago, said Greg Burger, publisher with RL Brown of the "Phoenix Housing Market Letter."

Maracay Homes reports that it sold 190 homes through April, more than double its activity a year ago. Plus, this year's $50 million in sales far exceeds last year's pace when Maracay sold $60.5 million for all of 2011.It's a big change for a new-home market that went from dormant to sluggish before the recent uptick.

"It hasn't been wine and roses the past few years," said Andy Warren,Maracay president since April 2009.

The number of building permits issued continued to grow in April and homebuilders are responding with new communities and floor plans.

Maracay Homes, with its offices at the Scottsdale Quarter, has four communities in Tucson and seven in the Valley in Buckeye, Chandler, Goodyear, Peoria and Queen Creek.

Maracay, the Arizona subsidiary of the Weyerhauser Real Estate Co., plans to open five more communities with a total of 414 home sites by the second quarter of 2013. Those developments are in Litchfield Park, Queen Creek, Gilbert, Chandler and in east Mesa at Eastmark on the former General Motors Desert Proving Ground site.

The builder has two more communities under contract with 135 home sites in Queen Creek and an additional 22 at Verrado in Buckeye.

"We've repositioned Maracay in the last two years to take advantage of the challenges in the economy," said Warren, who previously worked for Weyerhauser's Winchester Homes subsidiary in Bethesda, Md.

Maracay expects to sell 300 homes in the Valley this year and an additional 100 in Tucson, he said. The company's average home price this year is $260,000.

Home inventory declines

A shrinking inventory of resale homes has buyers turning to new homes, and builders are responding to the demand.

The current pace of 11,000 homes this year could slow because of a tighter supply of suitable home sites and as builders limit their sales because of shortages of subcontractors, said Burger.

Buyers are getting frustrated with failed bids for a shrinking inventory of resale homes and are turning to new homes, he said, adding that the price difference of new homes costing more than resale properties is narrowing in some neighborhoods.

"We're moving in a direction that new homes are coming into focus," Burger said. "Some builders have opened the flood gates and are selling as many homes as they can."

Shea Homes Arizona has seen its sales jump 40 percent so far this year over 2011.

The California-based company, with its Arizona division in Scottsdale, is averaging about eight home sales per week, up from five over the past two years.

"It's pretty refreshing," said Ken Peterson, Shea Homes Arizona vice president of sales and marketing.

Sales are on the upswing because consumers who lost homes to foreclosure or short sales are becoming eligible for loans, he said.

Few new homes locally

Nearly all of the new-home subdivisions are outside of Scottsdale, which has a limited amount of large land tracts for new communities.

Scottsdale issued 63 building permits for single-family homes in the first quarter, up from 33 a year ago but far below Gilbert with 697 permits and Phoenix with 347.

Pulte Homes and Lennar each are building about 200 homes at the gated Lone Mountain community just west of Scottsdale at 60th Street and Lone Mountain Road.

Pulte spokeswoman Jacque Petroulakis said the builder has seen its traffic and sales more than double in the past few months.

Retirees, move-up families and second-home buyers are part of the sales surge, she said.

Pulte, which launched sales at Lone Mountain in April 2010, has homes of 1,933 to 3,026 square feet for $298,990 to $369,990.

Utility-cost savings are a big selling point for the new-home market, with builders touting better insulation, construction techniques, and more efficient appliances and heating and cooling systems..

Builders are also offering garages large enough for recreational vehicles and stand-alone buildings for shops, studios or guest casitas.

New communities planned

Scottsdale-based Maracay Homes has seven Valley communities and four in Tucson. It plans to open these five communities with 414 home sites in the next two years:

Savannah in Litchfield Park, 70 homes with lots of 85 by 130 feet. Opening May 19.

Montelena in Queen Creek, 59 homes with lots of 90 by 140 feet. Opening fall 2012.

Lyons Gate in Gilbert, 46 homes with lots of 60 by 118 feet. Opening late 2012.

Vaquero Ranch in Chandler, 74 homes with lots of 60 by 120 feet. Opening second quarter 2013.

Eastmark in east Mesa, 165 homes with about half the lots at 55 by 115 feet and half the lots at 70 by 120 feet. Opening second quarter 2013.

by Peter Corbett - May. 10, 2012 03:22 PM The Republic | azcentral.com



Scottsdale builders seeing surge in new homes

Improving Home Builder Morale Tops Warm Winter Rally Amid New Selling Season PHM LEN - Investors.com

Home builder morale rose to a five-year high in May and is better than it was during the mild winter months, suggesting the recent rally isn't just a weather-related anomaly.

The National Association of Home Builders sentiment index climbed to 29 from 24 in April. Readings for current conditions, the six-month outlook and traffic also rose, nearing or besting winter highs.

In intraday trading, Lennar (LEN), D.R. Horton (DHI) and KB Home (KBH) were each up more than 4%. PulteGroup (PHM) and Toll Brothers (TOL) advanced more than 2%.

The Building-Residential/Commercial group, No. 1 out of IBD's 197 industries this week, climbed to its highest level since Aug. '07.

Do-it-yourself retail giant Home Depot (HD), which reported in-line earnings and sales below estimates Tuesday morning, was off 1.6%.

Homebuilders reported higher orders and backlogs in their latest quarterly earnings, in line with separate data pointing to stabilization in the housing market.

Readings had been strong in February and March but retreated in April. But the latest rebound could point to some underlying strength. The NAHB's traffic subindex jumped to 23 in May from 18, also hitting a five-year high.

The overall index is still historically low and still far from the break-even level of 50. Readings above that mean more builders see good conditions than bad.

NAHB also noted obstacles to housing persist, such as access to credit, "inaccurate" appraisals, and rising materials prices. Data on housing starts come out Wednesday, offering another opportunity for a stock lift.

by Jason Ma Investor's Business Daily May 15, 2012


Improving Home Builder Morale Tops Warm Winter Rally Amid New Selling Season PHM LEN - Investors.com

Sunday, May 13, 2012

FDIC to spare healthy units of failing banks

WASHINGTON - Regulators plan to employ a strategy for handling big failing banks that would help stabilize the financial system by preserving the banks' healthy operations, the head of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. says.

FDIC acting Chairman Martin Gruenberg outlined the agency's strategy in a speech Thursday. Under the 2010 financial-overhaul law, the agency has the authority to seize and dismantle big financial firms that could collapse and threaten the broader system. The aim is to avoid another taxpayer bailout of Wall Street banks in another financial crisis.

Gruenberg said that under the strategy, the FDIC would take over a failing bank's parent company but allow its healthy subsidiaries to continue operating. He said that would reduce disruption and permit normal financial transactions.

Because the subsidiaries would keep operating, their trading and other relationships with other big financial institutions also would continue normally and "mitigate systemic consequences," Gruenberg said in the speech at a Federal Reserve conference in Chicago. That would reduce the chance that closely connected big financial firms would fall like dominoes.

In shutting down a bank's parent company, the FDIC would transfer its assets, especially holdings in its subsidiaries, to a new "bridge" company. Shareholders would lose their investment. Its creditors would receive equity stakes in the "bridge" company.

Eventually, the bridge company would become a healthy company in private hands, Gruenberg said.

FDIC officials cite Lehman Brothers' collapse in 2008 that precipitated the financial meltdown and Great Recession. Despite Lehman's extensive losses, there were valuable assets in some subsidiaries, especially its European operation, based in London, they say. When Lehman failed, that operation had to be dissolved under British law. The FDIC strategy would permit such an operation to continue.

by Marcy Gordon - May. 10, 2012 06:21 PM Associated Press


FDIC to spare healthy units of failing banks

Property near mall finally has owner

The Arizona Supreme Court has decided that investors in a California-based company own the high-profile, 10.5-acre parcel Elevation Chandler near Loops 101 and 202.

For three years, Point Center Financial of California and Phoenix foreclosure speculator Tom Peltier have been fighting in court over ownership.

The court's opinion, issued Friday, ends that legal battle and clears the way for investors to sell the parcel, which has drawn considerable interest from potential buyers.

"Even prior to the decision, there have been a few groups following up with us to see if the decision was out yet," said Rene Esparza, Point Center's loan servicing manager and asset manager.

Esparza declined to identify prospective buyers or the possible price.

A majority of the site's 270 investors, weighted by how much money they have in the project, will vote on whether to sell and, if so, which offer to accept.

"Even though we're negotiating the deal, we want to present to our investors what we believe is the best deal for them," Esparza said.

There have been distressed sales in the commercial market, but Elevation Chandler is a premium location. Its value was muddied because of the litigation, which Esparza described as "the big black cloud over the site."

The property is eligible for a variety of uses, such as apartments, offices or mixed use, but single-family homes won't be considered, Chandler planning administrator Jack Kurtz said.

Because the property is on the southern edge of the upscale Chandler Fashion Center, he expects a project there to complement the mall.

"At one time, the plans were for mixed use, which makes sense," Kurtz said. "The last people who came in, Archstone, were proposing high-density multifamily, which also made sense. Offices complementary to the mall would also make sense."

Colorado-based Archstone Apartments, which was in escrow when it broke the contract last fall, is expressing interest now that the title is clear.

Mayor Jay Tibshraeny is glad the legal case is resolved.

"The single-most question I get asked is what is happening with that partially completed structure near the mall," he said. "It's of keen interest."

City Councilman Rick Heumann said a Class A hotel would work well there because Chandler lacks a large meeting space. Condos are out because financing has dried up.

"The quality and standards of Chandler have to be met," Heumann said. "Elevation Chandler is going to be the entrance to the Price Corridor and the mall, and that's important."

At issue was who really owned the site. The legal battle began June 15, 2009, the day of a botched trustee's sale.

The Supreme Court said deeds of trust are governed by state statute, not case law, as Peltier had argued, said Roger Cohen, attorney for TD Service, the company that held not one but three trustee's sales on the property.

Joseph Cotterman, attorney for Point Center, said of the court's opinion, "I was very glad to see a well-reasoned decision that reached the right result for all the right reasons. It is very clear that the Supreme Court decided this strictly under the statutes that relate to deeds of trust."

The first trustee's sale was at noon on June 15, 2009, when an auctioneer for TD Service made a $1 million credit bid on behalf of Point Center. The auctioneer had been authorized to make bids for Point Center up to $25 million if competitors placed bids. Point Center was deemed the buyer.

Peltier arrived later and told the auctioneer the sale had been scheduled at 2 p.m., and he insisted the auction be repeated, so a second sale occurred about 3:30 p.m.

The auctioneer bid $1 million for Point Center, and Peltier bid a dollar more: $1,000,001. The auctioneer called his office and was erroneously told to declare Peltier the winner, even though Point Center had authorized the auctioneer to bid up to $25 million on the lender's behalf.

The next day, a standoff developed between Peltier and TD Service. The company said the sale was void because of errors, and it refused to accept the balance from Peltier, who in turn refused to accept from TD his $10,000 down payment from the day before.

The errors in the sale included inaccuracy in the property's legal description and in sale notices being placed at the wrong address.

Peltier, doing business as BT Capital, filed a lawsuit, which was dismissed by Maricopa County Superior Court Judge Bethany Hicks.

She ruled that the second trustee's sale was void because of procedural irregularities.

Peltier appealed, and the Arizona Court of Appeals kept his case alive.

However, the state Supreme Court said Friday that one of the keys was a third trustee's sale, held on July 1, 2010.

"We hold that this case was rendered moot when the property was purchased by the beneficiary (Point Center) at a third trustee's sale in 2010," the opinion said.

Peltier attended the July 2010 sale but didn't bid, saying he already owned the property.

The Supreme Court also ordered Peltier to pay attorney's fees incurred by Point Center.

Peltier's attorney, Bill Doyle, declined to comment.

Construction on Elevation Chandler stopped April 2006, leaving an eyesore, a partly built hotel jutting into the sky. Jeff Cline, Elevation Chandler's original developer, filed for bankruptcy protection in April 2008.

by Luci Scott - May. 10, 2012 03:33 PM The Republic | azcentral.com




Property near mall finally has owner

$2 Trillion JP Morgan Trading Loss Renews Push To Curb Bank Risk; Dodd-Frank Found Wanting - Investors.com

JPMorgan Chase's (JPM) $2 billion trading loss has renewed concerns about how the nation's largest banks manage risk and raised doubt as to whether the 2010 financial overhaul adequately protects taxpayers.

Overnight, CEO Jamie Dimon seems to have gone from exhibit A in the case that too-big-to-fail banks can be safely run without tighter regulatory handcuffs to exhibit A that they can't.

In one respect, the shift may be unwarranted: The trading loss looks like a superficial wound — not even big enough to wipe out half ofJPMorgan's Q1 profit. At least when it comes to absorbing this particular loss, "too big" may not be so bad.

JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon reassured the bank's employees on Friday that the company is "very strong." He is pictured in San Francisco on Jan. 13...
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon reassured the bank's employees on Friday that the company is "very strong." He is pictured in San Francisco on Jan. 13.

But banking experts understand that financial crises are a fact of life. As long as banks are playing with federally insured deposits — and an implicit broader bailout backstop — taxpayers have an interest in making sure they don't take on excessive risk.

That's where the Volcker Rule, passed as part of the Dodd-Frank reforms, is supposed to come in. But the rule remains unfinished as regulators struggle to translate Congress' mandate to keep banks from taking risky bets into clear, workable guidelines.

Rep. Barney Frank, D-Mass., sounded a note of vindication: "The argument that financial institutions do not need new rules .. . is at least $2 billion harder to make today."

Yet it's unclear if the Volcker Rule would even restrict the activity that burned JPMorgan. Dimon suggested on Thursday's conference call that the trade in question was done to hedge risk and, therefore, would be permissible under the Volcker Rule.

The rule targets proprietary trading — making trades not to provide customers with liquidity or hedge risk, but for pure profit.

"The Volcker Rule judges very much by the intent" behind a trade, said Brookings Institution scholar Douglas Elliott. "If a bank does its hedging incompetently," that's beyond the ability of regulators to police, he said.

And for good reason: "If we didn't have these exceptions, (the Volcker Rule) would effectively forbid a large majority of the things that banks do."

Elliott, for one, is no fan of the Volcker Rule, which aims to ban unnecessary risk, rather than preventing excessive risk-taking. In that sense, it seems designed to rid bank culture of a "trading mentality," he said.

Other analysts also see it as somewhat besides the point in heading off financial crises.

"Banks usually go broke from making bad loans," not proprietary trading, said American Enterprise Institute banking expert Alex Pollock.

by Jed Graham Investor's Business Daily May 11, 2012


$2 Trillion JP Morgan Trading Loss Renews Push To Curb Bank Risk; Dodd-Frank Found Wanting - Investors.com

Arizona's mortgage improvement fastest in U.S.

Delayed mortgage payments are decreasing faster in Arizona than in any other state, indicates a new report.

Arizona delinquencies on past-due home loans fell by one-fourth over the 12 months ending in March, reports credit-researcher TransUnion.

That gave Arizona the nation's best delinquency-improvement rate, though the percentage of past-due home loans here remains above the national average, TransUnion said Wednesday.

Arizona's mortgage-delinquency rate fell to 6.86 percent at the end of March, down from 9.14 percent one year earlier. The U.S. mortgage-delinquency rate also improved, falling to 5.78 percent at the end of March from 6.19 percent a year earlier. The new national rate is the lowest since the first quarter of 2009.

TransUnion defines delinquencies as the percentage of borrowers who are 60 or more days past due and extracts the information from individual credit reports, about 27 million in total.

Combined with other indicators such as rising home prices and declining personal bankruptcies, the delinquency report provides further evidence that the state's economic recovery is continuing.

For example, Phoenix home values rose 3.3 percent over the 12 months through February, the best performance among 20 large cities tracked by the Standard & Poor's/Case-Shiller housing index. Arizona State University reported a 20 percent year-over-year home-price increase through March.

Meanwhile, metro Phoenix and statewide bankruptcies have been falling for 15 straight months on a year-over-year basis. In April, for example, Valley filings were down 27 percent from April 2011.

Also, national consumer delinquencies on credit cards and 10 other loan categories tracked by the American Bankers Association fell across the board during the most recent quarter -- the first time that has happened in eight years.

"You can't get a better consumer-credit report card than this," said the ABA's chief economist, James Chessen, in a statement.

Nationally, mortgage delinquencies tracked by TransUnion have been trending lower for three years, though they increased moderately in the third and fourth quarters of 2011.

"While we are still about three times above the pre-recession norm, this should mark the start of consistent improvement each quarter," said Tim Martin, a group vice president focused on housing in TransUnion's financial-services unit.

Arizona's improvement largely reflects stable or rising home prices and a declining jobless rate, Martin said. The state also is coming down from a surge in bankruptcies.

"It's a very good story for Arizona," Martin said. "Arizona started from a high base and has been showing improvement, and we expect it will continue to show improvement through the end of the year."

The Arizona delinquency rate, which started 2007 at just 1.45 percent, rose almost continuously as the Great Recession worsened, peaking at 11.33 percent in the fourth quarter of 2009, before reversing course over the past couple of years.

TransUnion predicts mortgage delinquencies will continue to drift lower in 2012, as more homeowners are able to make payments. That forecast is based on assumptions about economic activity, consumer sentiment, unemployment rates, personal income, real-estate values and more. The forecast would change with unanticipated shocks to the economy or a renewed slide in housing prices, the company said.

As another positive, Martin cited low interest rates and rising refinancing activity, including through the federal Home Affordable Refinance Program, or HARP.

In addition to having the best mortgage-delinquency improvement rate, Arizona also has cut its housing debt notably. The average amount of mortgage debt here fell 3.3 percent to $196,300 over the past 12 months, said TransUnion. That was the second-largest debt decrease after a 6.2 percent decline in Nevada. Arizona's housing debt peaked at about $220,200 in the first quarter of 2009.

by Russ Wiles - May. 9, 2012 06:17 PM The Republic | azcentral.com




Arizona's mortgage improvement fastest in U.S.

Arizona shows big jump in 2011 construction

Arizona ranked fifth among U.S. states for construction spending on commercial real-estate projects in 2011, a huge advance from its No. 14 position the previous year, according to a report issued this week.

The report, from the Virginia-based real-estate development association NAIOP, said companies spent $4.2 billion on Arizona commercial-development projects in 2011, supporting more than 74,000 jobs.

The huge jump in Arizona construction spending was due in large part to the ongoing construction of Intel Corp.'s $5 billion Fab 42 project in Chandler, which began in summer 2011 and is expected to be completed in 2013.

The facility, touted as the largest microchip-fabrication facility in the world, is expected to employ about 1,000 full-time workers upon completion.

The biggest spender in the U.S. on commercial construction in 2011 was Texas, with $7.9 billion spent on commercial projects supporting about 150,000 jobs, the NAIOP report said.

New York was second, with $6.5 billion in construction spending and about 83,750 jobs supported, it said.

In third place was West Virginia, with $5.9 billion in construction spending and about 101,000 jobs supported, followed by California, with $4.5 billion in spending and about 71,000 jobs supported.

Nationally, development and construction of commercial real estate -- including office, industrial and retail buildings -- rebounded in 2011, the NAIOP report said.

It was the first year to post gains in construction spending since the recession began in 2007, according to the report, titled "How Office, Industrial and Retail Development and Construction Contributed to the U.S. Economy in 2011."

Construction spending on commercial real estate totaled $92.3 billion in 2011, an increase of more than 12 percent compared with 2010, the report said.

That spending supported nearly 2 million jobs nationally, it said.

Although most developers have yet to resume construction of new multitenant office and retail projects, there has been a resurgence of multifamily housing and warehouse construction, both of which are considered commercial development.

The total economic impact of commercial real-estate development, including pre-construction, construction and post-construction, added $261.6 billion to the U.S. gross domestic product in 2011.

That's a 13 percent increase over the $231.7 billion commercial construction added to the U.S. GDP in 2010, according to the report, which was issued Monday.

The increase in construction spending and activity resulted in the building of 238.3 million square feet of new commercial space, an increase of 2.5 percent from 2010.

That new space has the capacity to house 610,000 jobs with an annual payroll of $26.8 billion, the report said.

"2011 was a transition year for the U.S. economy and the construction sector," said report author and economist Stephen S. Fuller, director of the Center for Regional Analysis at George Mason University. "The U.S. economy shifted from a federal stimulus to private-sector-driven growth pattern, and construction spending grew accordingly."

Forecasts for 2012 call for construction spending to increase and accelerate further in 2013 and 2014, according to the report.

"For the first time, we are seeing across-the-board increases in this sector," said Thomas Bisacquino, NAIOP president and CEO. "We believe this is the most solid evidence yet of a strengthening recovery."

by J. Craig Anderson - May. 8, 2012 06:18 PM The Republic | azcentral.com




Arizona shows big jump in 2011 construction

Thursday, May 10, 2012

Is It Better To Buy A Home Or Rent?

As real estate market analysts debate whether U.S. home prices have finally found a bottom, which would signal a recovery is taking hold, some experts are arguing the difference between a home’s price and its value to a buyer. Economists note that homes have historically been poor investment vehicles when considering the alternatives, and that buyers should focus on a home’s value as measured by the quality of life and utility that it delivers to buyers. Deciding this often comes down to a comparison with the costs of renting, and websites like Trulia.com offer rent-to-buy indexes to help buyers weigh the costs and the benefits. For more on this continue reading the following article from TheStreet.

Economists are furiously debating whether home prices are "bouncing along the bottom," ready to rebound, or poised for another dip. Millions of prospective homeowners are eagerly awaiting the conclusion. After all, no one wants to invest in a money loser.

But maybe those buyers are focused on the wrong question. Price is not as important as value, two measures that sound the same but aren't.

That's among the conclusions in a SmartMoney piece by Jack Hough, who uses home price data back to the 19th Century to show that, once inflation is figured in, home prices don't go up at all over the long term. There are spikes, like the one in the last decade, often followed by price collapses. But on average, home prices rise at the inflation rate. In contrast, some other investments, including stocks, rise considerably faster than inflation to produce real profits.

Experts have known for a long time that homes are not especially profitable investments, though it's hard to convince homeowners.

This does not mean, however, that a home is a bad buy. Instead, the home should be viewed as a purchase for consumption, just like shoes, cars and food -- necessities that produce no investment return. The home's value, as opposed to its price, is determined by how well it serves the owner's need for shelter.

And that largely depends on the cost of the alternative: rent.

Right now, home prices in many parts of the country are low relative to rent, making buying the better option. This is seen in the "rent yield," figured by dividing annual rent by the sales prices of comparable properties. If you paid $12,000 a year to rent a home worth $120,000, the rent yield would be 10%. Hough points out that even if you adjust for things like taxes and maintenance on the home, the yield in many markets exceeds 5%, not bad then considering bank savings are paying next to nothing.

Trulia.com has a rent-vs-buy index that shows markets where buying makes the most sense. This price-to-rent ratio divides home prices by rents, the inverse of the rent yield index, so the lower the number the better. (Convert it to rent yield by dividing 1 by the price-to-rent ratio.)

Trulia's most recent survey found it is cheaper to buy than to rent in 98 of the 100 largest markets.

Why has the balance shifted toward renting in so many places? It's a combination of the drop in home prices and the rise in rents due to greater demand from people who cannot buy or don't want to buy.

Buying does not make sense unless you plan to stay in the home for at least five years -- the longer the better. That will provide time for appreciation to cover buying and selling costs like the real estate agent's commission.

Finally, if the home is a consumption item and not an investment, it makes sense to buy the cheapest home that serves your needs. Buying a McMansion packed with rooms you rarely use is like buying a dozen eggs and letting half of them spoil.

by Jeff Brown, MainStreet, Nuwire Investor May 8, 20112


Is It Better To Buy A Home Or Rent?

Monday, May 7, 2012

CityScape developer snaps up Borgata

RED Development has added to its recent acquisitions by purchasing the Borgata of Scottsdale shopping center for $9.15 million from Macerich Co.

The Borgata at Scottsdale Road and Rose Lane is a specialty center built in 1981 to resemble the Italian village of San Gimignano. It offers 94,000 square feet of retail space, including the Blanco Tacos and J. Alexander's restaurants and the Dolce Salon and Spa.

"We are very pleased to have acquired this well-situated and high-quality property in Scottsdale, a tremendous market for retail performance," said Mike Ebert, RED managing partner.

RED Development, based in Phoenix, has been actively acquiring property in addition to developing CityScape in downtown Phoenix.

Last month, RED Development and Cole Real Estate Investments teamed up to buy Macerich's 50 percent stake in the Chandler Village Center and Chandler Festival power centers for $45.8 million.

RED also bought the Shops at Prescott Gateway and the Aspen Place at the Sawmill retail center in Flagstaff within the past year.

The Borgata acquisition is part of RED's growth strategy, Ebert said.

"We look forward to working with the unique retailers and restaurants at the property and applying RED's creative approach to the future of the real estate," he said.

The Borgata has vacancies, but RED Development declined to disclose its occupancy rate at the time of the sale. The deal closed earlier this week.

It did not include the nearby Shops at Hilton Village, on the opposite side of Scottsdale Road from the Borgata, which Macerich also manages. Macerich, of Santa Monica, Calif., is the parent company of Westcor, the Valley's largest mall developer and operator. Company executives could not be reached for comment.

by Peter Corbett - May. 4, 2012 04:29 PM The Republic | azcentral.com




CityScape developer snaps up Borgata

Solis site goes for $30 million

An 11-acre redevelopment site for a planned hotel and condominiums in downtown Scottsdale was sold last week at a trustee sale for $30 million.

AZ-Waters Edge LLC submitted the only bid and will take title of the land northeast of Scottsdale and Camelback roads, said attorney Lawrence Petrowski of Stinson Morrison Hecker LLP, the trustee.

Scottsdale Canal Development LLC, which started assembling the property along the Arizona Canal in 2006, had planned a 240-room Solis Scottsdale hotel and 140 condos on a site that now includes a SRP substation.


"It's a huge disappointment," said Mark Madkour, Scottsdale Canal Development principal. "It was a huge amount of effort, time and money."

Madkour and his investors lost millions of dollars on what was to be a $600 million project.

IMH Financial Corp. of Scottsdale foreclosed on the property in May 2011. AZ-Waters Edge is affiliated with IMH Financial.

Scottsdale Canal Development also lost ownership of a site at 68th Street and Indian School Road it had intended to use for the relocated Salt River Project substation, Madkour said. It paid $7 million for the property.

Westcor gets new deadline

Westcor has again deferred its lease payment until May 31 for 112 acres of state trust land northeast of Scottsdale Road and Loop 101.

The Valley mall developer owed the Arizona State Land Department $2.2 million by April 30 for the site, which has long been planned for a regional mall.

Westcor made $1.26 million in lease payments through 2010 but deferred its payments in January and December 2011. In April 2008, Westcor bid $32 million for the site to secure a 99-year lease.

State Land Commissioner Maria Baier has the discretion to defer lease payments for up to five years.

by Peter Corbett - May. 4, 2012 03:10 PM The Republic | azcentral.com




Solis site goes for $30 million

Home buying may never get any cheaper

Several housing experts are predicting that this year will be the last chance for home buyers to cash in on the weak housing market.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- Buying a home may never get any cheaper than this. Several housing experts are predicting that this year will be the last chance for bargain hunters to cash in on the best deals of the weak housing market.

With home prices down 34% nationally since 2006 and mortgage rates at historic lows, homes have never been more affordable -- but it won't stay this way for much longer.

Stuart Hoffman, chief economist for PNC Financial Services (PNC, Fortune 500), said he expects home prices to flatten out by the third quarter and start climbing by next year.

A number of factors will help bolster the housing market, he said, including a decline in the number of foreclosures and continued job growth. In addition, homebuyers will have better access to mortgages as they get their finances in order and improve their credit scores.

Some economists, like Trulia's Jed Kolko, expect home prices to pick up even more quickly. Trulia's data shows that the national average for asking prices already increased 1.4% in the first quarter of 2012, compared with the last three months of 2011.

Mortgage payments at lowest level in decades

"This is a strong indicator that we will start seeing home price indexes, like the S&P/Case-Shiller, start to report home price increases this summer," he said.

Prospective homebuyers who've been sitting on the fence shouldn't worry if they aren't quite ready to make the leap. Analysts are predicting that the initial price gains will be modest, at least, in most markets.

Hoffman, for example, is forecasting a 2% increase in 2013 compared with 2012. Meanwhile David Stiff, chief economist for Fiserv, predicts that prices will turn in the last quarter of 2012 and will rise 4.2% for the 12 months through September 2013.
Foreclosures start to fade. One major factor that will drive the trend is the cooling of the foreclosure crisis. Stan Humphries, chief economist for Zillow, said that the percentage of mortgage loans 90 days or more late, a good predictor of future foreclosures, is "falling fast."

That percentage dropped 15% year-over-year to 3.1% through the end of 2011, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association. And the decline is accelerating: More than 70% of the decline came in the last three months of the year.

Before things slow down, however, buyers should brace themselves for a temporary spike in the number of foreclosures as banks start expediting the processing of hundreds of thousands foreclosures that were stuck in the system following the robo-signing scandal. That backlog should move more quickly now that new guidelines for processing foreclosures have been outlined in the $26 billion foreclosure settlement.

Many of the bank-owned properties currently coming out of the foreclosure pipeline are being snapped up by investors who are fixing them up and renting them out -- often to those who were displaced by the foreclosure of their own home. That has helped to lift prices on foreclosed properties, according to Alex Villacorte, the director of analytics for Clear Capital, which specializes in housing market valuations.

Home buying much cheaper than renting

"That could have a significant impact on the market overall in terms of providing a rising floor to home values," he said.

In some markets hit hard by foreclosures, the turnaround in prices is already underway. Phoenix recorded an 8.4% jump in home prices during the three months ended April 30, compared with the three months ended January 31, according to Clear Capital.

"It's crazy," said Tanya Marchiol, founder of Team Investments, a Phoenix real estate investing firm. "Stuff I was selling six months ago for $60,000 to $80,000 is now $90,000 to $110,000."

Miami saw a 4.6% increase quarter-over-quarter through April, and Tampa, Fla., was up 4.4%, according to Clear Capital.

Goodbye 3.8% mortgage. In addition to home prices, mortgages could also move higher.
Mortgage rates have been at or near historic lows for much of the past six months. The average interest rate for a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage has not topped 4.5% since July 2011 and this week, it hit 3.84%, a new low.

But rates aren't expected to remain at these record-low levels much longer. As the economy continues to recover, rates will move higher, said Doug Lebda, CEO of LendingTree, the online lending site. Although, he said, they will "stay very reasonable."

The Mortgage Bankers Association is forecasting that the 30-year fixed will hit 4.5% by the end of the year.

Greater demand for loans will help fuel the increase, according to Lebda.

6 Ways to get a great mortgage deal

Even though mortgage rates have been cheap, borrowing for home purchases has been sluggish. The Mortgage Bankers Association estimates that homebuyers will take out mortgage loans totaling about $415 billion this year, an increase of less than 3% compared with 2011. Next year, however, it forecasts that amount will almost double to $706 billion.

As housing markets stabilize and prices stop falling, homebuyers will be even more confident about buying, said Humphries.

"People can now see the light at the end of the tunnel," he said. "And that can be enough to get them off the fence."




by Les Christie cnnmoney.com May 3, 2012



Home buying may never get any cheaper

Friday, May 4, 2012

Green Homes Comprise Nearly 20 Percent of New Home Construction Market in 2011




McGraw-Hill Construction, part of The McGraw-Hill Companies, has released its latest SmartMarket Report: New and Remodeled Green Homes: Transforming the Residential Market at the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) National Green Building Conference and Expo. The report includes McGraw-Hill Construction's estimate that the green homes share of the construction market was 17 percent in 2011, equating to $17 billion, and expected to rise 29 percent to 38 percent by 2016, potentially a $87–114 billion opportunity, based on the five-year forecast for overall residential construction.

The report reveals that two of the key factors driving this market growth are the fact that green homes are seen as having higher quality and that they save consumers money.

"In the current residential market, there is an enormous need to differentiate your homes for consumers," said Harvey Bernstein, vice president of industry insights and alliances at McGraw-Hill Construction. "When builders are able to offer homes that not only are green, but also offer the combination of higher quality and better value, they have a major competitive edge over those building traditional homes."

This report, produced by McGraw-Hill Construction in conjunction with the NAHB and Waste Management, is designed to provide key insights into product and market opportunities in the single-family home building and remodeling industries. It is backed by proprietary research surveys and the power of the McGraw-Hill Construction Dodge database.

"NAHB builder and remodeler members were surveyed on their green building practices, which allowed us to shine a light on the state of the green market in this new report," said NAHB Chairman Barry Rutenberg, a home builder from Gainesville, Fla. "The results highlight the tremendous growth in green building, and the potential market opportunities that lie ahead. As more projects seek green certification, NAHB and the NAHB Research Center stand ready to meet the demands of this exciting and ever-changing market."

Factors driving the growth in the green home building and remodeling market include:

►Higher quality for both new home builders and remodelers. For those doing a high volume of green homes (at least 60 percent of the homes they build), its importance is magnified, with 90 percent who regard higher quality as an important trigger for building green, compared to 72 percent of builders overall.

►Customers are strongly value-driven—around two-thirds of builders and remodeler respondents state that customers request green homes or remodeling projects in order to lower their energy use or save money, more than twice any other factor.

►Higher first costs for building green are noted by a much lower percentage of builders as an obstacle now than they were reported in 2008.

The study also reveals the key practices and technologies taking over in the residential marketplace as a result of the shift toward green:

►More than 80 percent report that energy efficiency is making today's homes greener compared to two years ago. Use of energy-efficient features is pervasive in the market—the top practice by nearly all surveyed builders and remodelers, regardless of their level of green building activity.

►Indoor air quality is growing in importance and focus for home builders. Sixty percent of home builders believe that efforts to improve indoor air quality make homes greener than they were two years ago, and 95 percent of high volume home builders report including features that impact air quality.

►More than half consider durable materials one of the most important features in their homes today. In particular, remodelers emphasize this key aspect of their projects. Durability and better materials are key reasons why green homes and remodeling projects are considered of higher quality.

"These findings confirm the shift we've seen in the market," said Jim Halter, vice president of construction solutions for Waste Management. "Builders and remodelers are placing more emphasis on energy efficiency, increases in sustainability focused waste management practices and more products made from post-consumer materials. These important factors are pushing our industry forward."

by nationalmortgageprofessional.com May 3, 2012


Green Homes Comprise Nearly 20 Percent of New Home Construction Market in 2011

Gilbert home construction outpaces other cities in Valley

Home construction in Gilbert continues to outpace every other Valley municipality, and the town is on track for its most robust year in new-home permits since 2006.

Several new and existing subdivisions around Gilbert are experiencing a flurry of activity as homebuilders look to capitalize on a rebound in the housing market.

Nearly every Valley community has seen a significant jump in permit activity during the first few months of the year, but nowhere is the spike more pronounced than in Gilbert, according to data produced by the Home Builders Association of Central Arizona.

The town has issued 981 single-family home permits this year, compared with 437 permits during the same four-month period in 2011. Gilbert is on pace to issue almost 3,000 permits this year, which would nearly triple its total from two years ago.

A lack of inventory for resale houses is driving more real-estate agents to point prospective buyers toward new homes instead, Pulte Homes spokeswoman Jacque Petroulakis said.

"Overall, the Southeast Valley is seeing a lot of activity and buyer confidence in terms of real estate," Petroulakis said.

Pulte Homes is selling houses in two partially built subdivisions in Gilbert: Stratland Estates and Lyon's Gate. Both communities have seen an increase in traffic over the past six months, and the company has sold about twice as many homes as expected during the past three months, Petroulakis said.

Meanwhile, prices for the new homes have increased slightly with the rise in demand, she said.

Gilbert's sprawling Power Ranch community near Power and Germann roads has been one of the most active in home construction, according to town records. Gilbert issued 56 home permits for Power Ranch in April, more than any other subdivision.

About two dozen other communities, mainly in the town's southern region, were issued single-family permits in March and April, records show.

The vast majority of home permits result in a finished house with occupants, Planning & Development Services Manager Kyle Mieras said.

"I don't think we have many that are sitting vacant," Mieras said. "Builders aren't really building spec homes right now."

With Gilbert's average household size just over three people, the new homes could end up drawing several thousand residents over the next several months.

Homebuilders' construction plans are reviewed by nearly every town department to analyze the effect on traffic, schools and municipal services. Although it is rare for the town to reject a proposal, developers often work with officials and nearby residents to make changes to plans before they are approved by the Planning Commission, Mieras said.

In addition to single-family construction, at least three apartment plans are in Gilbert's pipeline that would result about 900 total units. There are now about 7,200 apartments in Gilbert.

About 95 percent of the town's housing inventory is single-family detached residences, according to the General Plan. A Maricopa Association of Governments report estimated there were about 74,000 homes in Gilbert in 2009, but the report suggests that number could grow to 92,000 in 2020 and 109,000 in 2030.

From 1996 to 2006, Gilbert issued more than 3,000 home permits every year but one, according to U.S. Census Bureau statistics. In 2004, that number peaked at 5,071.

Then the recession put the kibosh on speculative construction, and the number of residential permits issued plummeted to 1,109 in 2008 before rebounding to 1,275 in 2009.

By the numbers

Gilbert has issued more than twice as many permits through the first four months of this year as compared with the same period in 2011.

2012

January: 149.

February: 262.

March: 286.

April: 284.

Four-month total: 981.

2011

January: 63.

February: 88.

March: 135.

April: 151.

Four-month total: 437.

Around the Valley

Permit numbers suggest more homes are being built in Gilbert than any other Valley municipality. The town has issued about twice as many permits in 2012 as Phoenix, which has issued the second most. Here are some municipalities' totals for the first quarter of 2012.

Gilbert: 697.

Phoenix: 347.

Mesa: 163.

Glendale: 71.

Chandler: 181.

Scottsdale: 64.

Goodyear: 201.

Queen Creek: 42.

New communities planned

The Gilbert Planning Commission has recently approved plans for several communities in Gilbert, including the following:

Marbella Vineyards

Date approved: April 4.

Description: The second phase of an existing community near Higley and Ocotillo roads, the project will include about 300 homes.

Santanilla

Date approved: April 4.

Description: The project includes plans for about 80 homes on the west side of Higley Road south of Riggs Road.

The Bridges East.

Date approved: March 7

Description: Plans include about 850 single-family homes in a master-planned community near Recker and Ocotillo roads.

Cooley Station North

Date Approved: Feb. 1

Description: The project will add about 70 homes to the Cooley Station subdivision near Recker and Warner roads.

by Parker Leavitt - May. 2, 2012 09:29 AM The Republic | azcentral.com


Gilbert home construction outpaces other cities in Valley

Thursday, May 3, 2012

Phoenix Finds Its Way Out of the Downturn: A Model for Recovery


The Arizona capital of Phoenix was one of the hardest hit markets by the housing crisis, with home values plunging nearly 60 percent from 2006 through mid-2011 and foreclosure filings soaring.

As recently as June 2011 Phoenix held the second highest metro foreclosure rate in the country, behind only Las Vegas, according to RealtyTrac. By the end of 2011, it had dropped to No. 6, and by March 2012, slipped to No. 9.

Adam Artunian, senior research analyst with John Burns Real Estate Consulting (JBREC), says it wasn’t too long ago that Phoenix was considered ground zero of the housing market’s collapse. “Phoenix has orchestrated a dramatic turnaround in recent months and has considerably outpaced other distressed markets such as Las Vegas, Riverside-San Bernardino, and Sacramento,” according to Artunian.

So what’s going on in the Valley of the Sun that’s so different from the rest of the country? What market forces are strong enough to lift the nation’s sixth most populous city from the depths of the downturn?
Analysts and local real estate professionals alike attribute the market’s turnaround to investors who are snapping up properties to fix and flip or fix and rent.

While Phoenix has always been an attractive investment market, Artunian says investors have literally flooded the area since the downturn and now make up close to 45 percent of all buyers.

Investor demand is so strong in fact that Artunian says first-time buyers are having difficulty competing with investors who are paying with all cash. Local agents are reporting bidding wars among prospective buyers, with homes going for more than the asking prices.

Artunian notes that single-family rental rates are now averaging $12,500 a year. With the selling price of a distressed home usually well below the median home price of $127,000, he says investors can expect to achieve between a 5 percent and 10 percent annual return, after operating expenses and before any home price or rental appreciation.

Investor demand has served to drive up home prices in the area. According to Michael Orr, director of the Real Estate Center at the W.P. Carey School of Business at Arizona State University, the median price of single-family homes in the Phoenix area rose to $134,900 in March of this year, up more than 20 percent from a year earlier.

He says the increase signals a shift in the mix of properties being sold, with fewer low-price foreclosures moving through the market. Median and per square foot pricing is moving up as traditional sales account for a greater percentage of activity, Orr explained.

The average price per square foot for homes in Phoenix during the first quarter of this year was $956, according to the online real estate marketplace Trulia. That’s an increase of 999.9 percent compared to the same period last year.

Local investors say homes priced at the lower end of the market – under $100,000 – are becoming increasingly harder to find, and once you do find a bargain-priced gem, it’s snapped up and off the market before you know it.

Artur Ciesielski, a Realtor and partner with inPhoenix Realty Group, noted in a recent blog post that the nose-dive in Phoenix home prices since the bubble burst is now fueling investor appetite, especially in a market with such high rental demand.

“Expect investor demand to continue and to be part of the demand that is driving prices up,” Ciesielski writes, “and forget about shadow inventory, it’s not coming.”

The housing inventory in Phoenix has fallen to a mere 2.4 months, down from nearly 5 months just one year ago and over 12 months in early 2008. According to JBREC, months-of-supply has not been this low in Phoenix since late 2005 when sales activity was at feverish levels.

Listings of existing homes for sale have fallen 43 percent since March 2011, and local practitioners are now calling “shadow inventory” nothing more than a myth. They say if banks were holding properties off the Phoenix market, now would be the time to release them and it’s just not happening.

Where are all the real estate investors descending from? Artunian points to Canada. While there are a growing number of local investors taking advantage of current conditions, he says Canadians are increasingly flush with cash, many because of their own real estate boom in recent years.

That combined with a favorable currency exchange rate has given them “unusual buying power,” according to Artunian. He cites data from the Cromford Report, a local real-estate publication, which shows one in every 25 sales registered in February went to a buyer that listed a Canadian address.

by Carrie Bay dsnews.com May 2, 2012



Phoenix Finds Its Way Out of the Downturn: A Model for Recovery

Tuesday, May 1, 2012

Arizona lawmakers target mortgage settlement

Arizona lawmakers say they need $50 million from a mortgage settlement to pay for other pressing state needs, even as housing advocates say they may sue if the Legislature takes the funds.

Legislative leaders say their proposal for the fiscal 2013 budget will not deprive relief to victims of the foreclosure crisis: Those needs will be covered by $1.5 billion from the settlement fund, according to state budget staffers. Arizona posted the highest foreclosure rate in the nation in March, the most recent month for which statistics are available, with 9,497 foreclosures, according to RealtyTrac.

The $50 million will come out of an additional $97.7 million in settlement funds overseen by Arizona Attorney General Tom Horne's office. Horne's website says that money is to be used for "state foreclosure prevention programs, Attorney General Office costs and fees, and to remediate the effects of the foreclosure and housing crisis in Arizona."


The settlement language calls for the $97.7 million to be used, among other things, for housing counselors, legal aid, hotlines and to help stressed homeowners with their payments.

Lawmakers say the money amounts to a pricey outreach and education fund. It won't hurt to take half of it, House Speaker Andy Tobin said.

"We're using the funds to relieve the pressure on the budget," said Tobin, R-Paulden. Those stresses range from a push to replace welfare dollars lost to federal budget cuts to prison construction, he said.

Tobin disputed claims from housing advocates that the money would be used to build private prisons. The $50 million goes into the general fund and is not earmarked for a specific program, he said.

The budget includes $50 million over the next two years for 500 maximum-security beds, but those beds would be built and overseen by the state, not private contractors.

The Arizona Housing Alliance said it is considering a lawsuit to stop the fund transfer. The Homeowner Advocacy Unit at Arizona State University's Sandra Day O'Connor College of Law has joined in the effort to monitor the use of funds.

The housing alliance estimates that $50 million could provide 75,000 troubled homeowners with housing counseling and 10,000 homeowners with legal assistance.

Senate Majority Leader Andy Biggs, R-Gilbert, said many of the states benefiting from the mortgage settlement have put the dollars into their general funds.

by Mary Jo Pitzl - Apr. 30, 2012 09:28 PM The Republic | azcentral.com



Arizona lawmakers target mortgage settlement